LONDON (Reuters) -France’s fiscal problems and shaky political set up are unlikely to be solved by the appointment of new Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu, credit rating firm S&P Global said on Wednesday.
S&P and its counterpart Fitch, which is due to review its French rating on Friday, have ‘negative outlooks’ on their AA- scores due to heavy government spending and Paris’ debt-to-GDP ratio of over 110%.
S&P’s next review is on November 28 and it has long warned of a potential downgrade – that could prompt a new round of bond selling – if the government fails to reduce its persistently large budget deficits, forecast to be 5.6% this year.
“Like his predecessor who resigned following a no-confidence vote on his plan to reduce the general government deficit, Lecornu begins his new role without the backing of a majority of seats in the National Assembly,” S&P said in a note on this week’s developments.
It added that Lecornu might attempt to pass the country’s budget without submitting it to a parliamentary vote.
“In our view, such a decision implies that political uncertainty will continue throughout the run-up to the April 2027 presidential elections,” S&P said.
Lecornu’s immediate challenge will be how to steer a streamlined 2026 budget through parliament, which is split into three distinct ideological blocs. Parties broadly agree on the need to slash France’s deficit, but not on how to do it.
(Reporting by Marc Jones;Editing by Elaine Hardcastle)
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